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NEW Working Paper: Event Valence and Subjective Probability

Introduces signed subjective expected utility (SSEU), where willingness-to-bet reflects both subjective likelihood and event valence, and applies it to hedging aversion, the conjunction fallacy, insurance and gambling, dominated choices, and home equity bias.

Coming VERY Soon: Strategic Ambiguity, Moral Hazard, and the Optimal Deterrence Strategy

We provide a game-theoretic explanation of strategic ambiguity—deliberately creating uncertainty in Beijing and Taipei about whether the United States would intervene in a war—using the decision-theoretic notion of ambiguity.

Working Paper: Arbitrage Pricing in Convex, Cash-Additive Markets

We characterize several convex pricing rules under the assumption of cash additivity.

Working Paper: Absolute and Relative Ambiguity Attitudes

We provide representation theorems for preferences under basic assumptions on ambiguity attitudes without Schmeidler's notion of ambiguity, i.e. convexity of preferences.

Working Paper: A Nonlinear Sandwich Theorem

We develop a nonlinear sandwich theorem and applications to mathematical finance.